
Resolved No on 21 Sep 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 31%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Sep 2023. Before it settled, the high was 69% on 17 Sep 2023 and the low 50% on 9 Sep 2023. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 65% on 10 Sep 2023. $150.06 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 12:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Sep 2023 – 21 Sep 2023, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2023 | 50.0% |
| 21 Sep 2023 | 69.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| satoriman | Yes | 3.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi scores in his next official game for Inter Miami CF (after this market was released, September 8, 2023, 12:00 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, goals and penalties scored during regular time and extra time will count, however goals scored during a penalty shootout will not. The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of the game, however a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. https://www.espn.com/soccer/player/_/id/45843/lionel-messi) will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-messi-score-in-his-next-game-sep-8-23
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