Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 48%. Yes opened at 70% on 22 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2023 to 24 Aug 2023, the highest close was 70% on 22 Aug 2023 and the lowest 52% on 24 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 52% on 24 Aug 2023. $2.4K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 25, 12:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 Aug 2023 – 24 Aug 2023, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2023 | 70.0% |
| 24 Aug 2023 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KingCreole | Yes | 163.71 |
| xxbcj | No | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi scores in his next game for Inter Miami CF (after this market was released, August 21, 2023, 12:00 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, goals and penalties scored during regular time and extra time will count, however goals scored during a penalty shootout will not. The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of the game, however a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. https://www.espn.com/soccer/player/_/id/45843/lionel-messi) will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-messi-score-in-his-next-game-aug-21-23
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