Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 29% on 11 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 39.5% on 24 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 7.5% on 29 Jun 2026. $227.26K traded over the market's life.
108 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 6:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 11 Jun 2026 – 20 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | 29.0% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bonniel | Yes | 10.49K |
| Detailed-Hive-Scalp | Yes | 10.39K |
| obamasbbc | Yes | 5.56K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-messi-and-ronaldo-shake-hands-during-world-cup-20260609221211643
| Yes |
| 4.69K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 3.94K |
| Specific-Cafe | Yes | 2.54K |
| pawanprime1908 | Yes | 2.5K |
| idunnowhyyy | Yes | 2.26K |
| Emerald Meteor CA81 | Yes | 1.5K |
| fxanalyst | Yes | 1.43K |
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