Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 51% on 17 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2026 to 2 Feb 2026, the highest close was 54% on 30 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 2 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 7.5% on 1 Feb 2026. $5.87K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 4, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 17 Jan 2026 – 2 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | 51.0% |
| 2 Feb 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Slippery-Bracelet | Yes | 1.29K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 751.28 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 517 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 503 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Melania (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on February 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/melania-rotten-tomatoes-score
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 278 |
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| acal | Yes | 125 |
| t189 | Yes | 49.99 |
| paas2 | Yes | 30 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
