Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 21 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2025 to 24 Jan 2025, the highest close was 6% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.3 points down, to 0.7% on 22 Jan 2025. $15.51K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 3:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 Jan 2025 – 24 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2025 | 6.0% |
| 24 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.72K |
| Harogerm44 | Yes | 1K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 1K |
| Lebin2rous | No | 4.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the $MELANIA 1 minute candle for January 24, 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” FDV of between $11,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $13,000,000,000 (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute price candles for $MELANIA available at https://dexscreener.com/solana/dub4wd6za2f6epwdghippfwf7z2eqtqnuapppdd6ebw1, viewed by clicking Price and 1m on the top row of the chart, when multiplied by the total supply.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/melania-fdv-on-friday
| piperc11qa | No | 1.01 |
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