Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 49% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 63% on 9 Jan 2026 and the low 0.1% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 33% on 11 Jan 2026. $124.86K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Plastic-Burial | Yes | 2.88K |
| acal | Yes | 1.5K |
| leonikaf | Yes | 696.93 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/megaeth-airdrop-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 644.4 |
| anrd04 | Yes | 576.26 |
| johnwithout | Yes | 500 |
| wellhelloth | Yes | 499.99 |
| torredonhimeno13 | Yes | 395.62 |
| 3896 | Yes | 354.73 |
| Svelte-Installation | Yes | 333.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
