Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 78% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 89% on 23 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 19% on 3 Feb 2026. $212.64K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 78.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 6.52K |
| andrewkabtc | Yes | 5K |
| srmiiie | Yes | 2.12K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/megaeth-airdrop-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| quirklyturtly | Yes | 1.56K |
| waawaaa | Yes | 1.34K |
| treeeeeeeeeeeeeeee | Yes | 1.3K |
| HumbleBets | Yes | 1.16K |
| tagdeus | Yes | 1.03K |
| kmiru | Yes | 1K |
| abcdefmlzy | Yes | 755.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
