Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 42% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 42% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 10.5% on 13 Dec 2025. $14.3K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 42.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.14M |
| bamesjond | Yes | 1.1M |
| EdwardBurns9059 | Yes | 1.43K |
| MadisonThompson3575 | Yes | 841 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on Medline’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on December 17. If no Medline IPO occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Medline’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/medline-ipo-closing-market-cap
| NicoleAllen7412 | Yes | 331 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| 2009matizcre | Yes | 66.66 |
| qqwet | Yes | 42 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| ewaw | Yes | 6.25 |
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