Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 26% on 27 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 26% on 27 Dec 2025.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 10:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 75 points · 23 Dec 2025 – 8 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | 10.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.26K |
| Ennius | Yes | 413.41 |
| loskinns208 | Yes | 409.69 |
| Ernstberger67 | Yes | 358.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Melodifestivalen 2026, who will represent Sweden in the 2026 Eurovision song contest. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Melodifestivalen 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Melodifestivalen rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Melodifastivalen (https://eurovisionworld.com/national/sweden/melodifestivalen-2026), including live footage of Melodifestivalen 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/melodifestivalen-2026-winner
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 300 |
| Bludvich | Yes | 243.67 |
| sociedad | Yes | 242.63 |
| larsen99 | Yes | 201.55 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 199.99 |
| Luxurious-Pinecone | Yes | 119.11 |
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