Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 3% on 10 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 3% on 10 Dec 2024 and the low 1.5% on 11 Dec 2024. $20.22K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 9:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 10 Dec 2024 – 11 Dec 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2024 | 3.0% |
| 11 Dec 2024 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 0.06 |
| Serty | No | 0.06 |
| Geromi | Yes | 0.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market group over what terms will appear in the Brian Thompson shooter's manifesto if it is released by Friday.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brian-thompson-perp-manifesto-mentions
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