Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Sep 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 26 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2023 to 2 Sep 2023, the highest close was 74% on 29 Jul 2023 and the lowest 3.5% on 19 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 29.5% on 11 Aug 2023. $5.19K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 7:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 26 Jul 2023 – 2 Sep 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2023 | 58.5% |
| 2 Sep 2023 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dim-Pressroom | Yes | 76.67 |
| Jade Ledger FA76 | Yes | 44.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether Kylian Mbappé will sign for Real Madrid in the Summer transfer window, which closes on September 1, 2023. This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Mbappé has signed for Real Madrid during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Mbappé has signed a contract extension with PSG, or signs for a club other than Real Madrid during the described transfer window. If a club announces that Mbappé has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement. This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either PSG or the signing club.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mbappe-sign-for-real-madrid
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