Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Sep 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 25 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2023 to 2 Sep 2023, the highest close was 26.5% on 25 Jul 2023 and the lowest 1.1% on 25 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 13.5% on 27 Jul 2023. $78.88K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 5:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 25 Jul 2023 – 2 Sep 2023, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2023 | 26.5% |
| 2 Sep 2023 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leoleoleoleo | Yes | 9.98K |
| Salty-Rainstorm | No | 6.33K |
| AceBaby256 | Yes | 699.33 |
| Mirrrad | Yes | 107.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether Kylian Mbappé will sign for any football club in the Saudi Pro League in the Summer transfer window, which closes on September 1, 2023. This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Mbappé has signed for any team in the Saudi Pro League during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Mbappé has signed a contract extension with PSG or a new contract with any club not in the Saudi Pro League. If a club announces that Mbappé has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement. This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either PSG or the signing club.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mbappe-join-a-saudi-club-this-transfer-window
| pinkstenis | Yes | 3.69 |
| Adept-Witch | Yes | 0.42 |
| Solar Quasar 17D6 | Yes | 0.01 |
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