Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 2% on 11 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 11 May 2024 to 11 Jun 2024, the highest close was 2% on 11 May 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 5 Jun 2024. $128.47K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 12, 5:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 11 May 2024 – 11 Jun 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 May 2024 | 2.0% |
| 11 Jun 2024 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 76.28K |
| gremplin | Yes | 12.5K |
| 598761582 | Yes | 41.67 |
| 2649857589 | Yes | 38.46 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
sada
Resolution source: https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/may-2024-temperature-increase-c
| LukaTheGoat | No | 4.84 |
| tttteete | No | 3.01 |
| TYRTYTU | Yes | 1.43 |
| DFHSEFS | Yes | 1.11 |
| yuyuyuyup | No | 0.87 |
| CVDFGSDF | Yes | 0.83 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
