Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 11 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 11 May 2024 to 11 Jun 2024, the highest close was 25.5% on 11 May 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 11 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 13.5% on 12 May 2024. $89.6K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 12, 3:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 11 May 2024 – 11 Jun 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 May 2024 | 25.5% |
| 11 Jun 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 76.28K |
| Vojtik69 | Yes | 200 |
| gigilo555 | Yes | 70.71 |
| pests | Yes | 34.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
sada
Resolution source: https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/may-2024-temperature-increase-c
| fdfgjdgh | Yes | 0.83 |
| GFHJKGKHFJ | Yes | 0.71 |
| GHGKHGJ | Yes | 0.71 |
| CVDFGSDF | Yes | 0.2 |
| DFHSEFS | Yes | 0.17 |
| IUYRIRYOYI | Yes | 0.07 |
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