
Resolved No on 11 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 11 May 2024. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 11 May 2024 and the low 0.9% on 8 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 18% on 3 Jun 2024. $77.49K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 12, 6:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 11 May 2024 – 11 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 May 2024 | 50.0% |
| 11 Jun 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 76.28K |
| yolooooo | Yes | 5.88 |
| JCFGXCV | Yes | 1.05 |
| YUIYRUITYO | Yes | 0.53 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
sada
Resolution source: https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/may-2024-temperature-increase-c
| TYRTYTU | Yes | 0.53 |
| FDGSGDHGF | Yes | 0.5 |
| FDSFDFGFD | Yes | 0.5 |
| GHGKHGJ | Yes | 0.5 |
| fdfgjdgh | Yes | 0.34 |
| TRYITT | Yes | 0.33 |
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