Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 1 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the highest close was 30% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 4 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 0.9% on 4 Jul 2026. $366.75 traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 5:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 24.5% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 479.22 |
| balthazar | Yes | 156.25 |
| hesure | Yes | 25 |
| CircuitBoardA | Yes | 19.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed participant finishes 2nd in the final result of the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the participant officially recognized by Major League Eating as finishing in second place. If multiple participants are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed participant to finish 2nd in the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, postponed after July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place participant declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-2nd-place-mens-20260629221245055
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Jade Oracle 8329 | Yes | 12.81 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 5.59 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 5.01 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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