Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 18% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 9 Oct 2026, the highest close was 18% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 1.1% on 28 Aug 2026. $5.81K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 6:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 9 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 18.0% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 19.88K |
| balthazar | Yes | 4.67K |
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pick-as-the-next-press-secretary-20260812210729848
| Yes |
| 932 |
| SickandTired | Yes | 666.89 |
| Pure-Homeownership | Yes | 612.44 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 565.75 |
| DREAMBIG. | Yes | 416.57 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| redsandstone | Yes | 137.84 |
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