Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 85%. Yes opened at 42% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 233 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 12 Aug 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 15 Jul 2026 and the lowest 19% on 4 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 51% on 17 Jun 2026. $77.99K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 233 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 12 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 42.0% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 85.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| seal7 | No | 12.45K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.78K |
| rewrewrewrwe | No | 550 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mn-02
| runechiters | No | 199.99 |
| Royal Pulse AF37 | No | 136.46 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 109.72 |
| alluptomoney | Yes | 89 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| YouSayUpISayDown | No | 50 |
| menthe2 | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
