
Resolved No on 19 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 8 Jun 2024 to 19 Jul 2024, the highest close was 50% on 8 Jun 2024 and the lowest 2% on 11 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9.5% on 9 Jun 2024. $2.23K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 8:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 8 Jun 2024 – 19 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2024 | 50.0% |
| 19 Jul 2024 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| keyhan29ad | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mason-greenwood-sign-for-benfica
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