Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 84% on 11 Jan 2026 and the low 1.7% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 11% on 10 Feb 2026. $14.79K traded over the market's life.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 8:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 31 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Misty Harbor A740 | Yes | 263.6 |
| Keen Oracle 1B1C | Yes | 256.92 |
| zhuojiaogua | Yes | 233.75 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any 1-minute candle for MARU (MARU/USDC) during Q1 2026 (from January 1 to 11:59 PM ET on March 31) has a final “High” price that implies a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the MARU token price by the total token supply. The resolution source for this market is EdgeX, specifically the MARU/USDC price feed available at: https://pro.edgex.exchange/spot/MARU/USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles). Only the EdgeX MARU/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-fdv-will-maru-reach-in-q1
| ruolunjiao | Yes | 210.9 |
| xingrenqian | Yes | 208.42 |
| suguayou | Yes | 195 |
| yidaoao | Yes | 194.29 |
| zhongganqiang | Yes | 189.41 |
| anxunpan | Yes | 175.71 |
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