Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 2.0–2.5 million views on day 1?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 9, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$10.1K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 9, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 9 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 51.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 9 Oct 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 9 Oct 2025 and the lowest 45.5% on 8 Oct 2025. $10.06K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 12:38 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 9 Oct 2025, chart shows 40%–55%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Oct 2025	45.5%
9 Oct 2025	48.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.36K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	447
tobiroulette	Yes	99.58
Deafening-Possible	Yes	14

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by Marques Brownlee gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. If Marques Brownlee does not post a YouTube video by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Marques Brownlee's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@mkbhd/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to Marques Brownlee's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.