Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 11.5–13.0 million views on week 1?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$17.6K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 15, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 43% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 15 Oct 2025, the highest close was 43% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 1.8% on 9 Oct 2025. $17.56K traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 12:44 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 15 Oct 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Oct 2025	43.0%
15 Oct 2025	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	6.91K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.32K
rated	Yes	1.2K
Ziigmund	Yes	610

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by Marques Brownlee gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If Marques Brownlee does not post a YouTube video by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is Marques Brownlee's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@mkbhd/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to Marques Brownlee next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.