Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55%. Yes opened at 48% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 90% on 27 May 2026 and the low 18.5% on 5 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 69% on 18 Jun 2026. $10.15K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 4:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 165 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 24 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 48.0% |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| taesookim | Yes | 1.17K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 923.12 |
| jennylulu2016 | Yes | 62 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sc-01-republican-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 50 |
| subprimemaster | Yes | 26.35 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 26 |
| hesure | Yes | 21.05 |
| Worse-Scenario | Yes | 20.36 |
| R23poyrffsddfdsfd43554 | Yes | 15.01 |
| Rosy-Suppression | Yes | 14 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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