Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$471.3K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 1, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 9% on 20 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 13.5% on 23 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 13.5% on 23 Sep 2024. $471.34K traded over the market's life.

24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:46 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Sep 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
20 Sep 2024	9.0%
1 Oct 2024	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Ozb	Yes	266.67
Pyrisous	Yes	150
Kohma	Yes	100
ptrnnkn	Yes	90

10 of 24 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Robinson withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial race, or announces the suspension of his 2024 NC gubernatorial campaign, by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Mark Robinson from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Mark Robinson does not announce his withdrawal or campaign's suspension, or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 NC gubernatorial race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Mark Robinson or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mark-robinson-drop-out-in-september

Dates

Event starts

Sep 19, 2024 UTC

Resolved

Oct 1, 2024 UTC