Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 10 Aug 2024 and the low 2% on 23 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 15.5% on 11 Aug 2024. $31.48K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 5:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 10 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 49.5% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ER01MM | Yes | 57.78 |
| tiltedcrypto | No | 0.01 |
| daroghi | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Cuban is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This person will be considered a "speaker" if they publicly give a speech in-person at the convention. Brief comments, introductions, or participation in a panel or discussion do not count for a "Yes" resolution, they must actually give a speech. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Democratic party, including footage from the convention, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-speak-at-dnc
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