Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 15 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2024 to 4 Sep 2024, the highest close was 31.5% on 15 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 2 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 2.5% on 16 Aug 2024. $18.46K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 5, 3:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 15 Aug 2024 – 4 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2024 | 31.5% |
| 4 Sep 2024 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.53K |
| Disguised-Badger | Yes | 1.82K |
| Neon Oracle C0FB | Yes | 40.4 |
| Criptobank | Yes | 10.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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