Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.6% on 4 Feb 2025 and the low 44% on 29 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 99.6% on 3 Feb 2025. $644.51 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 4, 10:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 4 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 72.5% |
| 4 Feb 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Marcus Rashford will leave Manchester United during the winter transfer window by February 3, 2025, 6:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Marcus Rashford is transferred to another club, is loaned to another club, terminates his contract with Manchester United, or retires: this market will resolve to "Yes". Only announcements of departures set for the winter transfer window will qualify. Announcements of future transfers/departures after the Winter transfer window will not count. This market's resolution source will be official announcements from Marcus Rashford, Manchester United, or the signing club.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-marcus-rashford-leave-manchester-united
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