Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 3.7% on 16 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2024 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 3.7% on 16 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Jan 2025. $893.52K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 2:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 16 Nov 2024 – 22 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2024 | 3.7% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 218.96K |
| Swift Comet 4623 | Yes | 800 |
| Ivory Horizon 8772 | Yes | 550 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if no individual is appointed as a U.S. Senator for Florida as a replacement for Secretary of State nominee Marco Rubio by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first individual appointed to replace Rubio as U.S. Senator for Florida - if someone is appointed this position, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If Marco Rubio does not resign by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-marco-rubio-as-florida-senator
| Yes |
| 550 |
| Emerald Sphinx E8AD | Yes | 550 |
| Golden Vector E179 | Yes | 550 |
| Bright Maven CD51 | Yes | 550 |
| zhang2 | Yes | 439.92 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 400 |
| Emerald Orbit CF97 | Yes | 400 |
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