Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 71.5%. Yes opened at 56% on 2 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2025 to 13 Jul 2025, the highest close was 76% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 56% on 2 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 72% on 5 Jul 2025. $3.66K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 2 Jul 2025 – 13 Jul 2025, chart shows 50%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2025 | 56.0% |
| 13 Jul 2025 | 71.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.19K |
| Solar Scout A080 | No | 8.57 |
| Ivory Ledger 3423 | No | 8.57 |
| Bright Orbit 85FB | No | 8.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 MotoGP Liqui Moly Grand Prix of Germany, scheduled for July 13, 2025. If the 2025 MotoGP Liqui Moly Grand Prix of Germany is canceled or rescheduled to a date after August 1, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Bagnaia would resolve to "Yes", Marquez would resolve to "No"). The resolution source will be the official MotoGP website and credible sports news reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/motogp-germany-grand-prix-winner
New to prediction markets?
| Misty Maven A825 | No | 8.57 |
| Coral Raven 2D54 | No | 5.71 |
| Cobalt Orbit CDCD | No | 5.71 |
| Violet Pulse AED3 | No | 5.71 |
| Cosmic Raven 53F2 | No | 5.71 |
| Bright Vector 6BE4 | No | 5.71 |
