Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 72% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 50 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 21 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99% on 21 Jan 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 5 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 92.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $17.6K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 21 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | 72.0% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | No | 1.5K |
| porsche911gts | No | 800 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 245 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player signs with a new club between market issuance and February 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any transfer, loan, loan extensions, or a free agent signing of a player that did not play for the club in the most recent season will qualify. Transfers between a club’s senior and reserve or youth teams, as well as free agents re-signing with the team they most recently played for, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the clubs involved, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-soccer-players-will-sign-with-new-clubs-in-the-winter-transfer-window
| No |
| 210 |
| nevergamble | No | 200 |
| from10dollarstodream | No | 200 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 124 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Rosy-Pinstripe | No | 100 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 69 |
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