Will ManifestingVictory win the Genesis Cup?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 4, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$28.0K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 4, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.7%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 4 Dec 2025, the highest close was 19.9% on 1 Dec 2025 and the lowest 9.3% on 4 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.4 points down, to 9.3% on 4 Dec 2025. $27.96K traded over the market's life.

30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 4 Dec 2025, chart shows 5%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Nov 2025	9.5%
4 Dec 2025	9.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	12.51K
funding	Yes	4K
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	1.23K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	973.19

10 of 30 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Hive x Betmoar Genesis Cup, which is a trading competition scheduled to end December 16, 2025. If the Genesis Cup is postponed after January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by January 31, 2026 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple competitors are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the competitor whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Betmoar (see: https://www.betmoar.fun/contest/hive); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.