
Resolved No on 13 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 20 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 85 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2023 to 13 Dec 2023, the highest close was 81.5% on 20 Sep 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 13 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 44% on 21 Sep 2023. $1.47K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 85 points, 20 Sep 2023 – 13 Dec 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2023 | 81.5% |
| 13 Dec 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Pioneer 757C | Yes | 60 |
| EmmyKrypto | Yes | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester United advances to the knockout stage of the UEFA Champions League for the 2023-2024 season. If it becomes impossible for Manchester United to advance based on remaining matches and points before the group stage matches are completed, the market will resolve to "No". If the group stage ends without Manchester United advancing, the market will also resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-manchester-united-make-it-out-of-their-group
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