Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 16, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$134.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 16, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 16 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73.5%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 24 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2026 to 16 May 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73.5% on 16 May 2026 and the lowest 14.5% on 26 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 23.5% on 29 Jan 2026. $134.07K traded over the market's life.

56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 17, 10:22 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 24 Jan 2026 – 16 May 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jan 2026	15.5%
16 May 2026	73.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	40.31K
su281	No	17.09K
Milo100	No	1.56K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.