Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 46.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 13 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2026 to 14 Sep 2026, the highest close was 46.5% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 45% on 13 Sep 2026. $692.86 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Sep 2026 – 14 Sep 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | 45.0% |
| 14 Sep 2026 | 46.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MidCtrl | No | 60 |
| a5533 | No | 50 |
| bjprolo | No | 12 |
| chessplayer | No | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such announcement happens by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the first livestream where Zohran Mamdani speaks after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office (https://www.youtube.com/@NYCMayorsOffice). Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani speaks will qualify. Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani does not speak will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant announcement. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-mamdani-say-during-next-live-announcement-20260930-20260831-20260910
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