Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had No at 61.5%. Yes was at 38.5% at 8 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 8 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 8 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the price held at 38.5%. $193.31 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 3:43 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 8 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 38.5% |
| 8 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kingtyrone | Yes | 50 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.99 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such announcement happens by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the first livestream where Zohran Mamdani speaks after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office (https://www.youtube.com/@NYCMayorsOffice). Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani speaks will qualify. Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani does not speak will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant announcement. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-mamdani-say-during-next-live-announcement-20261007
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