Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 43% on 23 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 118 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 19 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 7% on 24 Apr 2026. $740.64 traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 1:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 19 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 43.0% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.05K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 245.13 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 171.64 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fl-20-democratic-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 150 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.99 |
| YouSayUpISayDown | Yes | 111 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 85.82 |
| akko123 | Yes | 62.7 |
| daroghi | Yes | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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