Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 84 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 99% on 13 Dec 2023 and the lowest 50% on 10 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 88.5% on 11 Oct 2023. $35.25K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 10 Oct 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2023 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 95.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lalalander | No | 2.5K |
| Nansou | No | 216.7 |
| Cefri | No | 40 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mahmoud Abbas remains in power as the President of the State of Palestine and the Palestinian National Authority until 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2023. "In power" is defined as Abbas still officially holding the office of the President of Palestine, as confirmed by reliable sources such as verified news outlets or official Palestinian government statements. If Abbas is no longer holding the office for any reason, including death, resignation, or removal, by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No". If Abbas departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mahmoud-abbas-still-be-president-of-the-state-of-palestine-by-the-end-of-2023
| Yes |
| 1.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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