Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Jan 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 63% on 10 Jan 2023. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2023 to 29 Jan 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 63% on 10 Jan 2023 and the lowest 6% on 22 Jan 2023. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29% on 19 Jan 2023. $37.28K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 10, 1:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 97 points, 10 Jan 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2023 | 63.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Kestrel C856 | Yes | 28.91K |
| Serpentine-Inverse | Yes | 3.41 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 2.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2023 Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2023 is the 85th edition of this prestigious chess event. Magnus Carlsen will face a who's who of the strongest chess players in the world, including the number 2 ranked Ding Liren. The tournament is scheduled to take place over January 13 -29, 2023, in Dorpshuis de Moriaan, Wijk aan Zee in the Netherlands. You can read more about the tournament here: https://tatasteelchess.com/about/tournament/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Norwegian chess grandmaster Magnus Carlsen wins the Tata Steel Masters 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it can be definitively determined at any point that Magnus Carlsen will not be the winner of the Tata Steel Masters based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason the tournament is cancelled or rescheduled to a date after February 6, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website for the World Fischer Random Chess Championship (https://tatasteelchess.com/), however other credible sources will be used.
Resolution source: https://tatasteelchess.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-magnus-carlsen-win-the-tata-steel-masters-2023
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