Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$59.7K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 21.5%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 11 Dec 2025, the highest close was 78.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 44.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 60.5% on 4 Dec 2025. $59.72K traded over the market's life.

41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 13, 12:31 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 11 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
3 Dec 2025	44.5%
11 Dec 2025	78.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.36K
kasri	Yes	2K
oliman2	Yes	1.31K
hxmofast	Yes	740

10 of 41 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa is scheduled to take place December 8-11, 2025. This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa. If this event is cancelled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed first name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Freestyle Chess (https://www.freestyle-chess.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.