Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 26 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2025 to 23 Jul 2025, the price held at 0.5%. $23.28K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 4:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 26 Jun 2025 – 23 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2025 | 0.5% |
| 23 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.63K |
| fannybooth | Yes | 1K |
| yvettewilkinson | Yes | 1K |
| ulopdreda | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) round in which Zohran Mamdani first obtains a plurality of active ballots in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary election, based on the final certified vote totals. “Active ballots” are those that are still eligible to be transferred under ranked choice rules in a given round. The resolution source will be the official certified election results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-rcv-round-will-mamdani-first-lead
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| jrieklsirjil | Yes | 793.01 |
| Pollyna | Yes | 10 |
