
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2026 to 15 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 14 Jul 2026 and the lowest 45% on 15 Jul 2026. $1.18K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 7:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Jul 2026 – 15 Jul 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| moxiaochen | Yes | 20 |
| Cautious-Photograph | Yes | 10.87 |
| a2dalek | Yes | 2.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team advances from the group stage to the playoff bracket of the League of Legends tournament at the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC 2026), scheduled for July 15 – July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." The listed team qualifies for the playoffs by finishing in the top two of its group in the GSL group stage, thereby advancing to the single-elimination playoff bracket. Finishing third or fourth in its group resolves this market "No." If the listed team does not compete in the event as scheduled, or if EWC 2026 is cancelled, postponed past August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the playoff qualifiers are not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Esports_World_Cup/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ewc-2026-qualify-to-playoffs-20260713213715567
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