Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.6%. Yes opened at 45% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2026 to 11 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 28 Jun 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 50% on 28 Jun 2026. $14.59K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 12:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 24 Jun 2026 – 11 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 45.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 11.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| divideetempire | Yes | 732.69 |
| ablacksnicker | Yes | 247.42 |
| PPMT | Yes | 29.98 |
| AresAris | Yes | 27.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the teams making the Grand Finals at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. If the competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the MSI 2026 Finals matchup is not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Resolution source: lolesports.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-make-msi-2026-finals-20260622172024823
| Infamous-Bustle | Yes | 18.93 |
| Dramatic-Servant | Yes | 15 |
| MegaBetBoy | Yes | 14.25 |
| 7011 | Yes | 10.53 |
| Lumbering-Crew | Yes | 7.69 |
| tachyo | Yes | 5 |
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