Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 66.5% on 18 Aug 2025 and the low 0.4% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 45.5% on 18 Oct 2025. $4.25K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 191 points · 26 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 339 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 269 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between April 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2025
| Yes |
| 139 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 135 |
| Shipoo | Yes | 43.25 |
| Avvnnnn | Yes | 42.4 |
| Yukaii | Yes | 40.93 |
| Blaorra | Yes | 40.45 |
| Kanp | Yes | 40.37 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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