Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 23 Apr 2026 and the low 1.2% on 4 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 7.5% on 24 Apr 2026. $362.78 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 5, 3:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 43 points · 23 Apr 2026 – 4 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Jun 2026 | 1.2% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 35sfddsfsfds | Yes | 27.5 |
| Kronosssss | Yes | 15 |
| Juliauss | Yes | 15 |
| Fodenn | Yes | 13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ca-48-primary-winners
| Gaile | Yes | 11 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 10 |
| Echolon | Yes | 10 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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