Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 10 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 2.5% on 10 Dec 2024 and the low 0.6% on 13 Dec 2024. $89.5K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 15, 6:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 10 Dec 2024 – 14 Dec 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2024 | 2.5% |
| 14 Dec 2024 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 1.7K |
| Bad-ter | Yes | 513.51 |
| Bassmaker | Yes | 163.33 |
| phroge | Yes | 96 |
| 0s9 | Yes | 74.55 |
| Indigo Tide 415E | Yes | 40 |
| e16yui | Yes | 29.17 |
| adnany | Yes | 20 |
| ykujkuku | Yes | 2.86 |
| tuykhukuij | Yes | 2.86 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luigi Mangione (https://x.com/pepmangione) posts/tweets again between December 9, 2024, 5:10 PM ET, and December 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://twitter.com/pepmangione/.
Resolution source: https://x.com/pepmangione
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-luigi-mangione-tweet-again-by-friday
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