Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47% on 29 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 7 Oct 2026, the highest close was 47% on 29 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 3.5% on 11 Sep 2026. $332.82 traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 3:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 47.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.43K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 263.57 |
| balthazar | Yes | 200.23 |
This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/motogp-world-champion-2026
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| korda77 | Yes | 130.01 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 60 |
| a5533 | Yes | 50 |
| mildwindow27 | Yes | 11.93 |
| YouSayUpISayDown | Yes | 11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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