Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 22, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$611.7K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 22, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 22 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 80.5% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 22 Nov 2025, the highest close was 80.5% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 79 points down, to 1.4% on 20 Nov 2025. $611.66K traded over the market's life.

39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 23, 8:30 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 22 Nov 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Nov 2025	80.5%
22 Nov 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
papayonci	Yes	35.5K
T110	Yes	21.62K
stlrs7777	Yes	19.56K
LersGetIt1	Yes	15K

10 of 39 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction). This market will resolve to "Yes" if [ARTWORK TITLE] (Lot [LOT NUMBER]) sells for [STRIKE PRICE] USD or more. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the hammer price as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots. .