Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in June?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.4%. Yes opened at 25% on 28 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 63.5% on 22 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 4.7% on 24 Jun 2026. $1.53K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 2:33 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 May 2026 – 1 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 May 2026	25.0%
1 Jul 2026	47.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	765.25
Unfortunate-Particle	Yes	372.05
Rokokoraccoon	Yes	100
TENETENET	Yes	100

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.