Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 36.5% on 8 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 33.5% on 5 Jul 2026. $103.34K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 9:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 20 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 7.5% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wary-Hardboard | Yes | 8.82K |
| Kati.shi | Yes | 6.5K |
| Alive-Recall-Perception | Yes | 2.63K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 1.8K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Lionel Messi scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Only goals credited on FIFA's official scoresheet will count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the final total. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many goals Lionel Messi scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-lionel-messi-goals-20260611144827122
| fxanalyst | Yes | 1.09K |
| Chuson88 | Yes | 1.05K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 988.89 |
| AsrielxX111 | Yes | 395.33 |
| ItayTrading | Yes | 388.67 |
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