Analytics
Yes is at 58.5%, up 8.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 25% on 3 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 73%; a month before, 30.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26% on 11 Sep 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “How many goals will Lionel Messi score during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?”.
$551.73 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.6, with a 75.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 46 trades, $92.57 bought Yes and $21.94 bought No.
The largest Yes position is ScottsRoad with 37 shares; the largest No position is GuyFromTinder with 28.
Trading closes on 1 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 58.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ScottsRoad | Yes | 37.38 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 27.65 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 19.25 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Lionel Messi scores between February 1, 2027 and May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This window covers the 2027 MLS Sprint Season, the abbreviated 14-match Major League Soccer regular season scheduled to run from February 2027 to May 2027, together with the 2027 MLS Cup Playoffs. Goals count only in official competitive matches: Major League Soccer league matches, domestic cup matches, continental and international club competitions, and competitive matches for the Argentina senior men's national team. Goals in friendly matches, exhibition matches, testimonials, and pre-season or mid-season tour matches do not count. Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the total. If Lionel Messi does not play in any match during this window, this market will resolve to "No". If it cannot be determined how many goals Lionel Messi scored by June 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer and the relevant competition organisers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-goals-will-lionel-messi-score-during-the-2027-mls-sprint-season-window
8 more markets, none above 50.0%.
| Swift Quasar 4C1F |
| No |
| 18.99 |
| Haradwaith | No | 13.89 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 7 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 5 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 3.74 |
| pupka-zalupka | Yes | 2.28 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 2.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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